The EU’s economic and political instruments have become gradually dominated by resilience framings, with an emphasis on multilateralism, adaptation, and long-term and bottom-up responses.
Read morePREDICTING FUTURE CHALLENGES: Quantitative risk assessment tools for the EU's Eastern and Southern neighbourhoods
Innovative quantitative approaches can help the EU know about, prepare for, and possibly help prevent governance breakdown and violent conflict in its neighbourhood.
Read moreFORECASTING AND FORESIGHT: Methods for Anticipating Governance Breakdown and Violent Conflict
Quantitative forecasting and scenario-based foresight methods can be applied to help prevent governance breakdown and violent conflict in Europe’s neighbourhood.
Read moreLooking Ahead: Foresight for Crisis Prevention
As part of their efforts to professionalize crisis and conflict prevention, foreign policy-makers are investing more in foresight, early warning or prediction. Different approaches and their products are suited for different purposes, based on distinct strengths and weaknesses.
Read morePolicy Relevant Scholarship? The Value of Creating, Framing and Storytelling
While occasions of contact between academia and practice exist, they remain mainly ad hoc and superficial. Academics can contribute to policy-making by using their unique skill set but with an eye for the concepts, the framing and the story-telling.
Read moreStrengthening Resilience in the EU’s Neighbourhood
In order to help build resilience, the EU needs to know its neighbours, find the right partners in its neighbourhood, and provide the policy space for new resilience partnerships to develop.
Read moreCONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK: Fostering Resilience in Areas of Limited Statehood and Contested Orders
Neither limited statehood nor contested orders will go away. They create vulnerabilities and pose risks, but they do not in themselves amount to threats to the EU. Only if and when areas of limited statehood and contested orders deteriorate into governance breakdowns and violent conflict, do the risks turn into threats to the security and stability of the EU, its member states, and citizens.
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