EU-LISTCO investigates the challenges posed to European foreign policy by identifying risks connected to areas of limited statehood and contested orders.
THIS PROJECT HAS RECEIVED FUNDING FROM THE EUROPEAN UNION’S HORIZON 2020 RESEARCH AND INNOVATION PROGRAMME UNDER GRANT AGREEMENT NO. 769886
Quantitative forecasting and scenario-based foresight methods can be applied to help prevent governance breakdown and violent conflict in Europe’s neighbourhood.
As part of their efforts to professionalize crisis and conflict prevention, foreign policy-makers are investing more in foresight, early warning or prediction. Different approaches and their products are suited for different purposes, based on distinct strengths and weaknesses.
While occasions of contact between academia and practice exist, they remain mainly ad hoc and superficial. Academics can contribute to policy-making by using their unique skill set but with an eye for the concepts, the framing and the story-telling.
The EU-LISTCO research database contains open-access information on European foreign policies towards the Eastern and Southern neighbourhoods, resources external and internal challenges to the EU, and datasets.
Author: Sarah Bressan
Highly realistic fake videos could take online disinformation to the next level. The EU must take action to prevent deepfakes from becoming the next propaganda tool.
Author: Khalil Shikaki
The EU’s twin policy of peacemaking and state building in the Middle East is unachievable. Now, the union must choose between preventing the status quo from deteriorating and embracing a one-state reality.
Author: Maksym Bugriy
Europe should use the election victory of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy to reaffirm its values of peace, democracy, and human rights by continuing to support Ukraine’s emergence into a European state.
Author: Amichai Magen
New actors are contesting the basic norms of statehood, borders, and non-intervention at the local, state, regional, and global levels. But is Europe prepared?
Author: David Cadier
Governing populists overprioritize domestic politics, indulge in “undiplomatic” diplomacy, and yield to conspiracy theories. The implications for EU foreign policy cannot be underestimated.
Author: Thomas de Waal
Moscow’s recognition of both Abkhazia and South Ossetia as independent states in 2008 has benefited no one—including the two territories and Russia itself.
The Carnegie Europe Foundation hosted a public discussion to take stock of the current political dynamics in Europe’s neighborhoods and consider what foreign policy challenges the EU faces over the next five years.
How can practitioners identify the risks and tipping points that they were not expecting? EU-LISTCO’s scenario-based foresight methodology brings together regional experts and policy makers in collaborative workshops to address this challenge.
EU-LISTCO analyzes dynamics between states, local actors and external/regional powers in the EU’s neighbourhood to identify areas of limited statehood and contested orders.
Although most policy attention focuses on the causes of radicalisation, the case of Egyptian and Tunisian Islamists raises an equally important question: why has only a small minority turned to violence?
How do Tunisian people conceptualize mobility and smuggling, given the very lack of legislation criminalizing the practice in that country?
The European Union’s neighbourhood is increasingly characterised by two main sources of risks: areas of limited statehood and contested orders. What are the implications for European security?
Which are the most pertinent challenges the EU and its member states are facing at the moment in their neighbourhoods?